Prediction of treatment nonadherence among older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease using Medicare real-world data.

BACKGROUND: Suboptimal maintenance medication (MM) adherence remains a clinical problem among Medicare beneficiaries with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). OBJECTIVE: To inform risk-based personalized decision-making, this study sought to develop and validate prediction models of nonadherence to COPD MMs for Medicare beneficiaries. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of beneficiaries aged 65 years and older with COPD and inhaled MMs. Nonadherence (proportion of days covered < 0.8) was measured in 12 months following the first MM fill after COPD diagnosis. Logistic and least absolute shrinkage selector operator regressions were implemented, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) evaluated model accuracy, as well as positive predictive values and negative predictive values. Our models evaluated different sets of predictors for two cohorts: those with an MM prescription before COPD diagnosis (prevalent users) and those without (new users). RESULTS: Among 16,157 prevalent and 40,279 new users of MMs, 11,271 (69.8%) and 34,009 (84.4%), respectively, were nonadherent. The best-performing logistic models achieved AUROCs of 0.8714 and 0.881, positive predictive values of 0.881 and 0.881, and negative predictive values of 0.559 and 0.578, respectively, for prevalent and new users. The least absolute shrinkage selector operator models had similar accuracy. Models with baseline-only predictors had average performance (AUROC < 0.72). The most important predictors were initial MM adherence, short-acting bronchodilator use, and asthma. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this study is the first to develop predictive models of nonadherence to COPD MMs. Generated models achieved good discrimination and underlined the importance of early adherence. Well-performed models can be useful for care decision-making and interventions to improve COPD medication adherence after the first critical few months following a treatment episode. DISCLOSURES: All authors declared no conflicts of interest.

Prevalence and Newly Diagnosed Rates of Multimorbidity in Older Medicare Beneficiaries with COPD.

Few studies have quantified the multimorbidity burden in older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) using large and generalizable data. Such evidence is essential to inform evidence-based research, clinical care, and resource allocation. This retrospective cohort study used a nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 years or older with COPD and 1:1 matched (on age, sex, and race) non-COPD beneficiaries to: (1) quantify the prevalence of multimorbidity at COPD onset and one-year later; (2) quantify the rates [per 100 person-years (PY)] of newly diagnosed multimorbidity during in the year prior to and in the year following COPD onset; and (3) compare multimorbidity prevalence in beneficiaries with and without COPD. Among 739,118 eligible beneficiaries with and without COPD, the average number of multimorbidity was 10.0 (SD = 4.7) and 1.0 (SD = 3.3), respectively. The most prevalent multimorbidity at COPD onset and at one-year after, respectively, were hypertension (70.8% and 80.2%), hyperlipidemia (52.2% and 64.8%), anemia (42.1% and 52.0%), arthritis (39.8% and 47.7%), and congestive heart failure (CHF) (31.3% and 38.8%). Conditions with the highest newly diagnosed rates before and following COPD onset, respectively, included hypertension (39.8 and 32.3 per 100 PY), hyperlipidemia (22.8 and 27.6), anemia (17.8 and 20.3), CHF (16.2 and 13.2), and arthritis (12.9 and 13.2). COPD was significantly associated with increased odds of all measured conditions relative to non-COPD controls. This study updates existing literature with more current, generalizable findings of the substantial multimorbidity burden in medically complex older adults with COPD-necessary to inform patient-centered, multidimensional care.Supplemental data for this article is available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/15412555.2021.1968815 .

Dental care utilization and retirement.

OBJECTIVE: The authors examine the relationship of dental care coverage, retirement, and utilization in an aging population using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). METHODS: The authors estimate dental care use as a function of dental care coverage status, retirement, and individual and household characteristics. They also estimate a multivariate model controlling for potentially confounding variables. RESULTS: The authors show that that the loss of income and dental coverage associated with retirement may lead to lower use rates but this effect may be offset by other unobserved aspects of retirement including more available free time leading to an overall higher use rate. CONCLUSIONS: The authors conclude from this study that full retirement accompanied by reduced income and dental insurance coverage produces lower utilization of dental services. However, they also show that retirement acts as an independent variable, whereas income, coverage, and free time (unobserved) act as intervening variables.

Dental care coverage and retirement.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the convergence of an aging population and a decreased availability of dental care coverage using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). METHODS: We calculate national estimates of the number and characteristics of those persons age 51 years and above covered by dental insurance by labor force, retirement status, and source of coverage. We also estimate a multivariate model controlling for potentially confounding variables. RESULTS: We show that being in the labor force is a strong predictor of having dental coverage. For older retired adults not in the labor force, the only source for dental coverage is either a postretirement health benefit or spousal coverage. CONCLUSIONS: Dental care, generally not covered in Medicare, is an important factor in the decision to seek dental care. It is important to understand the relationship between retirement and dental coverage in order to identify the best ways of improving oral health and access to care among older Americans.

Dental care expenditures and retirement.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the relationship of dental care coverage, retirement, and out-of-pocket (OOP) dental expenditures in an aging population, using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). METHODS: We estimate OOP dental expenditures among individuals who have dental utilization as a function of dental care coverage status, retirement, and individual and household characteristics. We also estimate a multivariate model controlling for potentially confounding variables. RESULTS: Overall, mean OOP dental expenditures among those with any spending were substantially larger for those without coverage than for those with coverage. However, controlling for coverage shows that there is little difference in spending by retirement status. CONCLUSIONS: Although having dental coverage is a key determinant of the level of OOP expenditures on dental care; spending is higher among those without coverage than those who have dental insurance. We also found that while retirement has no independent effect on OOP dental expenditures once controlling for coverage, dental coverage rates are much lower among retirees.

Dental care coverage transitions.

OBJECTIVE: To examine dental insurance transition dynamics in the context of changing employment and retirement status. STUDY DESIGN: Data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) were analyzed for individuals 51 years and older between the 2004 and 2006 waves of the HRS. METHODS: The primary focus of the analysis is the relationship between retirement and transitions in dental care coverage. We calculate and present bivariate relationships between dental coverage and retirement status transitions over time and estimate a multivariable model of dental coverage controlling for retirement and other potentially confounding covariates. RESULTS: Older adults are likely to lose their dental coverage on entering retirement compared with those who remain in the labor force between waves of the HRS. While more than half of those persons in the youngest group (51-64 years) were covered over this entire period, two-thirds of those in the oldest group (>or=75 years) were without coverage over the same period. We observe a high percentage of older persons flowing into and out of dental coverage over the period of our study, similar to flows into and out of poverty. CONCLUSIONS: Dental insurance is an important factor in the decision to seek dental care. Yet, no dental coverage is provided by Medicare, which provides medical insurance for almost all Americans 65 years and older. This loss of coverage could lead to distortions in the timing of when to seek care, ultimately leading to worse oral and overall health.

Health of community-dwelling adults with mobility limitations in the United States: incidence of secondary health conditions. Part II.

OBJECTIVE: To compare incident health conditions that occurred over a 2-year period in nationally representative groups of adults with mobility, nonmobility, and no limitations. DESIGN: Data were collected prospectively from a probability subsample of households that represent the civilian, noninstitutionalized U.S. population. SETTING: Five rounds of household interviews were conducted over 2 years. PARTICIPANTS: Data were analyzed on the same respondents from the 1996-1997 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) and the 1995 National Health Interview Survey Disability Supplement. Respondents were categorized into 3 groups for analysis; those with mobility limitations, nonmobility limitations, and no limitations. The analytic sample included 12,302 MEPS adults (>/=18y). INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Number, types, and 2-year incidence of self-reported health conditions compared across groups. RESULTS: The mean number of incident conditions (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) over the 2-year period was greatest in adults with mobility limitations (mean, 4.7; 95% CI, 4.4-4.9) compared with those with nonmobility limitations (mean, 3.9; 95% CI, 3.7-4.2) or no limitations (mean, 2.6; 95% CI, 2.5-2.7). Incident conditions affected most major body systems. CONCLUSIONS: Because secondary conditions are potentially preventable, determining factors that influence their occurrence is an important public health issue requiring specific action.

Health of community-dwelling adults with mobility limitations in the United States: prevalent health conditions. Part I.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize the extent and types of prevalent health conditions among nationally representative groups of adults with mobility, nonmobility, and no limitations. DESIGN: Data were collected during 5 rounds of household interviews from a probability subsample of households that represent the civilian, noninstitutionalized U.S. population. With some exceptions, round 1 variables were used for this analysis. SETTING: Community. PARTICIPANTS: Data were analyzed on the same respondents from the 1996 to 1997 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) and the 1995 National Health Interview Survey Disability Supplement. Respondents were categorized into 3 groups for analysis: those with mobility limitations, nonmobility limitations; and no limitations. The analytic sample included 13,897 MEPS adults (> or =18y). INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Number, types, and prevalence of self-reported health conditions compared across groups. RESULTS: On average, adults with mobility limitations had significantly more prevalent conditions (3.6) than those with nonmobility limitations (2.4), or no limitations (1.3). Greater comorbidity existed in the context of fewer personal resources and more than half of adults with mobility limitations were working age. CONCLUSIONS: Determining factors that influence the health of adults with mobility limitations is a critical public health issue.